> Is Febuary another month without global warming?

Is Febuary another month without global warming?

Posted at: 2015-03-12 
UAH says so.

http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_February_2014_v5.png

@antarcticice... "I have seen deniers try to list UAH along side these agencies as a global climate service and this is simply not true."

LOL... you should tell that to the NOAA.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/temp-and-precip...

(An alarmist making **** up. Imagine that.)

Well, Yeah man. I mean taking a single month out of a long term trend proves a point right? Especially when things like this are relevant.

Don't worry though, They expect another El Nino to come by years end then i'm sure you'll be shouting that a single month does not make a long term trend to the people posting in here that it is the first or second warmest October or November on record.

Kano: The long term trend is increasing. You need 30 years of data for a climate shift. This is to weed out such things as the PDO. You need a period of time where you can get 'statistically significant' amount of warming or cooling to determine the trend. And I hope you aren't stating that if the ENSO is neutral now that it will be neutral in 6 months time.

An El Nino episode is expected to begin sometime this year. ENSO has been neutral for almost 2 years now.

"Most models predict ENSO-neutral (-0.5oC to +0.5oC) to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring. After that, models predict either ENSO-neutral or El Ni?o (greater or equal to +0.5oC) during the Northern Hemisphere summer 2014"

ENSO is expect to turn to a positive phase in July or August.

Ian: Did you notice my comment about 'statistical significance'? Find me statistical significance in a trend of 17 years in the atmospheric temperature data.

Here is 17 years of data with UAH. :www.woodfortrees.org/plot/uah/fro...

Which uses the same satellite data as RSS only it's run by a skeptic.

According to the trend calculator on skepticalscience the trend is 0.094 +/- 0.206 degrees per decade for UAH and -0.013 +/- 0.201 degrees per decade for RSS using equations from the following: :iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/6/4/...

Actually, except for a few isolated pockets of unusually cold air, it's still business as usual for global warming. January was one of the warmest Januaries on record, and February was probably the same. We'll know in a few weeks when the official climate figures are released.

Right now it's a very hot, dry summer in the southern hemisphere. Australia is in trouble.

Global warming is not the farce laid out by the right, or the political dilemma of the left. It is a scientific hypothesis. One can sit in the middle of Detroit and complain about the cold, or do the opposite in a chair in the Australian Outback. Yet, the world is getting warmer. Jan./ 14 was the fourth warmest Jan. on record. II hope that the warming hypothesis is wrong,

nicely done, Kano. The Chicken Littles are scrambling or a retort. "Take one month..." No, it's something like 180 consecutive months with no warming. February is simply month 181. The warming has stopped. Even the leading alarmist James Hansen admits to that.

And now it takes 30 years to establish a trend? Really??? I can remember back five years ago, it took ten years to make a trend. Then it took 15 years to make a trend. Now it's 30 years.

I love the Y!A warmist crowd trying to spin their way out of this one. Reminds me of a guy who got caught cheating on his wife and trying to lie his way out of it.

So what have we learned? No global warming in February. The heat is hiding at the bottom of the ocean. Warming will start up again "soon." We are still on track for global catastrophe by 2099.

I think that about covers it.

You can't use a single month as a singular value. But you can use the minimum of 30 yearly Febs to establish a nominal trend for that month. Actually I'd say a few hundred thousand years would make more sense, but alarmist would disagree and there's no definitive proof too justify either.

High today is 95 F in Perth Australia and 81F in Cape Town South Africa. You cannot call it global not-warming until you average ALL the temperatures in the world. It matters not one little bit if some places are cold, it only matters if you average out all the hot and cold places and see if the AVERAGE is higher, lower, or the same. That is why the call it global warming and not Chicago warming or even northern hemisphere warming.

Yeah man. I mean taking a single month out of a long term trend proves a point right? Especially when things like this are relevant. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei/

Don't worry though, They expect another El Nino to come by years end then i'm sure you'll be shouting that a single month does not make a long term trend to the people posting in here that it is the first or second warmest October or November on record.

Kano: The long term trend is increasing. You need 30 years of data for a climate shift. This is to weed out such things as the PDO. You need a period of time where you can get 'statistically significant' amount of warming or cooling to determine the trend. And I hope you aren't stating that if the ENSO is neutral now that it will be neutral in 6 months time.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/an...

An El Nino episode is expected to begin sometime this year. ENSO has been neutral for almost 2 years now.

"Most models predict ENSO-neutral (-0.5oC to +0.5oC) to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring. After that, models predict either ENSO-neutral or El Ni?o (greater or equal to +0.5oC) during the Northern Hemisphere summer 2014"

ENSO is expect to turn to a positive phase in July or August.

Ian: Did you notice my comment about 'statistical significance'? Find me statistical significance in a trend of 17 years in the atmospheric temperature data.

Here is 17 years of data with UAH. http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/uah/fro...

Which uses the same satellite data as RSS only it's run by a skeptic.

According to the trend calculator on skepticalscience the trend is 0.094 +/- 0.206 degrees per decade for UAH and -0.013 +/- 0.201 degrees per decade for RSS using equations from the following: http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/6/4/...

El Nino(the child) an energetic expression of the Trinity. I'm doing some Mega research into NASA....even been speaking with a whistle blower via email. NASA is about to go down hard very soon as too many are tired of the lies. Each year the truth movement is gaining more whistle blowers, a lot from NASA. The pattern is they goto the mainstream media and get turned down. Long story short the precious "data" these AGW supporters use as "proof" is all being fudged and NASA is the Pope of all data involving global temperature. All the other "data centers" like Hadley simply copy paste NASA.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate

Global warming is climate. "It's cold today" (or even "February was cold") is weather. Learn the difference...

(and to those implying otherwise: of course, "It's warm today" is *also* just weather, but realists tend to only bring that up as a counter-point to cries of "It's cold right now, so global warming is a myth!")

>>Jeff M the long term trend (which you can see in the link) is flat, and why do you expect an El Nino when enso is showing neutral<<

How can anyone rely so heavily on graphs but never learn what they are, what they mean, or how to read them?

Have you joined some Troll Cult - or maybe suffered a stroke?

UAH says so.

http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_February_2014_v5.png

Its a Winter month in Northern hemisphere. But it is Summer month in Southern hemisphere, so you may say it was a month only half Globe warming. March on another hand will be Northern hemisphere half Globe warming and Southern hemisphere half Globe cooling.

I thought you would learn how the seasons are working by that time... :D

Satellite temperature measurements don't mean anything to the climate science alarmists here. Dr. Roy Spencer is a non-alarmist. Why would Jeff M agree with him?

It's only weather if it's cold out. If it's hot in Australia during their summer then that's global warming.

Ask the people in Australia.

http://www.skepticalscience.com/global-w...

Why say UAH, when you in fact mean just Roy Spencer, his estimates are always below the real ones which is why he releases his before the real ones

Lets wait and see what real agencies like NOAA in ~10 days and NASA say or UEA, I have seen deniers try to list UAH along side these agencies as a global climate service and this is simply not true. It is just Roy providing his monthly fodder for denier blogs, who are the only ones who still take him seriously.

Lets look at your title

"Is Febuary (February) another month without global warming?"

compared to what January which was the 4th warmest January since records began

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201...

How about December, whoops it seems that was the 3rd warmest December since records began

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201...

O.K. what about November, oh dear me, it seems November was the 1st warmest since records started.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201...

So let us pray:

ALGORE is my shepherd; I shall not think.

He maketh me lie down in Greeneth pastures:

He leadeth me beside the still-freezing waters.

He selleth my soul for CO2:

He leadeth me in the paths of self-righteousness for his own sake.

Though I walk through the valley of the shadow of reason

I will fear all logic: for thou art with me and thinking for me

Thy Gore’s family oil fortune and thy 10,000 square Gorey foot mansion,they comfort me.

Thou preparest a movie in the presence of contradictory evidence:

Thou anointest mine head with nonsense; my obedience runneth over.

Surely blind faith and hysteria shall follow me all the days of my life:

and I will dwell in the house of ALGORE forever..........

Yes.



yes,it is global warming.

It is still winter DUH Where I live Jan and Feb have traditionally the coldest and snowiest months