> Will we see an alltime Antartic ice extent record this year?

Will we see an alltime Antartic ice extent record this year?

Posted at: 2015-03-12 
http://sunshinehours.files.wordpress.com/2014/06/antarctic_sea_ice_extent_zoomed_2014_day_173_1981-2010.png

It's spelled "Antarctic".

There is no doubt that Antarctic sea ice has grown a few percent, and it's the same scientists that deniers say "are faking this" that are telling us that, not denier although based on your graph deners are still lying about the extent, I note your 'wordpress' graph has the extent at 15.49 million sq km, when the actual figure is around 15 flat or about 1 million above the long term average.

http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/image...

Deniers fixate on the Antarctic sea ice because if you look at Antarctic glacial ice or Arctic sea ice or Greenland glacial ice or the global mountain glaciers they are all shrinking and deniers know it so they try to play up just Antarctic glacial ice.

But even in this average, they ignore the real data, the average is up a little but it is growing in some places and shrinking in others as long term prevailing weather patterns change.

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Feature...

The other thing deniers try really hard to ignore in this is the different nature of the two sea ice masses the Antarctic sea ice melts and reforms every year, the Arctic did not, it thinned and lost some at the edges but remained near it land locked size, now in Summer it loses so much ice that ships can sail straight through, unprotected non-icebraking ships.

So as usual deniers are playing games and ignoring the science.

Sea-ice extent fluctuates quite significantly over a period of days and weeks, largely as a consequence of changes to wind and ocean currents. If the currents are directing ice away from the main ice-pack then you get dispersal and the ice extent increases (remember, ice extent isn’t a measure of solid ice cover).

It’s nigh on impossible to predict changes in the currents on the time-scales needed to calculate how the ice will behave this year so any prediction at this stage is really just guess work.

The statistical probability is that a new all time record will not be set, but at the same time, the odds of reaching that all time high are amongst the highest they’ve been.

ZIPPI: “If a bear poops in the woods and doesn't make a sound, does anyone hear it hit the ground?” by default the answer to your question is that nobody hears it hit the ground. However, if a tree falls over in the forest and no-one is around to hear it, does that make a sound?

I suspect that because of warmer seawater the added evaporation will tend to drop more snow on various parts of the South Pole. As most of that continent is high mountains where the temperatures never get much above 60 below it stands to reason that more ice will form. The weight of this ice will cause glaciers to move a bit faster in their downhill run dropping more ice into the surrounding sea. Freezing these chunks into a solid ice field will depend on several factors, but either way there may well be more ice floating along the coast lines. Not the most scientific answer, but at least it doesn't factor in bears!

Depends on your timescale.

There was a time in the dim and distant past where the land was a single continent "Pangea". The climate was much hotter than it is now and there were no Polar Ice-caps.

On that basis the record cannot be beat!!

Why? did no one answer my question, it was simple and direct.

So I will answer it, YES I think this year will be an all time record extent.

If a bear poops in the woods and doesn't make a sound, does anyone hear it hit the ground?

Alarmunism will never admit to any non-climate change. Environmentalists don't know that environmentalist science doesn't stink.

May be, if all that fresh water from the mainland is still there.

http://sunshinehours.files.wordpress.com/2014/06/antarctic_sea_ice_extent_zoomed_2014_day_173_1981-2010.png?w=1024&h=682