> How many excuses have you heard to explain the pause in Global Warming?

How many excuses have you heard to explain the pause in Global Warming?

Posted at: 2015-03-12 
<>

There's a contradiction in those 2 sentences. One would have to be a hard-core denier to not spot it.

Edit @ Ian:

<>

Is it reeeeeealllly that hard to spot? Your first phrase "from alarmists we know there has been absolutely NO PAUSE". And in your 2nd phrase you state that this pause WHICH 'ALARMUNISTS' CLAIM HAS NOT HAPPENED, was caused by....

Bottom line: one cannot make up excuses for something which one denies exists in the first place. It's like asking an atheist to explain the existence of God; it's total nonsense.

Edit @Ian 2:

<>

I am utterly serious.

The fact that the obvious contradiction completely escapes you indicates just how naive (which is a nice word for 'dumb') you are.

You wanted to post another nice little question to show 'just how dumb and contradictive those alarmunists are'. But in doing so you failed miserably with the wording of the 'question' itself.

You cannot claim in the same question first that 'alarmunists' claim that there is no pause in global warming and then continue to ask for reasons given by 'alarmunists' for this pause WHICH THEY CLAIM THERE ISN'T.

Got it now?

Edit @Ian 3:

You always do this when you get caught on a inconsistency; you claim you we're being sarcastic.

6

If you climb Mount Everest is every step you take higher than the last one? If you reach a bit that's flat, would you assume you've reached the summit, or keep going a bit until you were sure?

That's the point about the data. The temperature increase may have paused, but YOU don't know what it'll do next year. Or the year after that. Or after that. Why are you in such a hurry to draw a conclusion? Why not wait a bit longer to see what the temperatures do? At the moment they are still within the error limits of the models.

If you believe that scientists revising models, factoring in new data, and making progress in understanding the climate is an 'excuse' then you have no understanding of the scientific method.

There are number of natural and man-made factors, as you have pointed out – as well as a decline in the amount of solar energy the Earth is receiving and the El Ni?o/ La Ni?a cycles that affect the Earth's temperature. If you take into account those factors, the temperature of the Earth has been rising at a steady 0.15°C per decade for the last 30 years at the 99.5% confidence level – as a response to increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. The article below has a video which shows there is no pause in global warming and explains why.

Don't forget that we'll point out that the last ten years has been the warmest ten year period in the instrumental record--of course that doesn't really explain the pause--in fact it makes it almost seem as if things are still warming.

And another excuse might be that when you look at too short a time period interannual variability can mask the long-term rise associated with AGW.

As an example of the problem with short-term thinking, I live in the northern hemisphere, so summer is inexorably approaching--but the temperature at my house today is about 20 degrees colder than it was a couple of weeks ago. So I'm guessing that you would argue that we're not really approaching summer, since there has been not just a pause in temperature rise, but temperatures have actually FALLEN.

Any one that says AGW has stopped or slowed down is a liar liar Denier who denies the whole of science evolution flat earth and the little baby Jesus. Now we have to decide who are the Liars and what are the lies.

Don't worry, the next round of climate funding is still safe, that's politics, all the rest is just science.

You left out: "that current global temperatures are unprecedented in the last 3000 years and the LIA and MWP were not a global phenomena, because we cherry picked some tree rings"

Actually, I'm fairly certain that, if you look at what *actual scientists* are saying, they will agree that apparent warming as slowed somewhat (a "pause" implies that temperatures have not been increasing at all, rather than simply increasing at a slower rate than previously expected) because of a combination of sulfate aerosols (which have a known cooling effect) and natural factors (including "missing heat" warming deep ocean waters, and lower than normal solar inputs)

One important thing to keep in mind. News reports of science will almost *always* distort the science in some way. A reporter will turn "Global warming is still, in fact, occurring even during this apparent slowdown in temperature increases" into "There is no pause in global warming", or "This is a complex situation contrary to our original expectations, which we believe may be cause by " into "Scientists are baffled by..."

Always take media reports about science with a grain of salt...



Yes you did? You forgot the yellow ball in the sky.

http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/gistemp...

What is remarkable isn't that global warming is going slower than expected, but that Earth hasn't been cooling for the last 44 years. That is because the Sun is not the sole or dominant infuence on Earth's climate. Global warming is happening

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2010...

And we are causing it

http://c1planetsavecom.wpengine.netdna-c...

And it is hardly much of a pause. The ten warmest years in the instrumental record are 2010, 2005, 2009, 2007, 2002, 1998, 2006, 2003, 2011 and 2012.

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/

To answer your quesiton, I think you have the major items covered. I would also like to see how far back the "historical" record goes to say x of the last 10 years have been teh warmest on record. From reconstructed records all scientifically educated people know it has been warming in the past.

Medeval Warm Period, Roman Climate Optimum and Halocene Optimum are just three I can think of...

sgar96, you are flat wrong! It's 7! (LOL)

So, from alarmists we know there has been absolutely NO PAUSE in Global Warming. And the pause in Global Warming has been caused by:

1) Chinese aerosols

2) Missing heat bypassing the surface temperature stations and hiding in the deep ocean where unfortunately we can't measure it

3) Volcanic emissions

4) Decreased water vapour in the stratosphere

Is that the complete list or am I missing any?

Global Warming never happened so there is no pause . Its a myth.

A lot...Some people just don't understand the importance of recycling and helping the environment.