Meteorologists that I hear don't believe in Global Warming any more than I do. It is Climate Scientists whose grant money depends on saying they believe in Global Warming that are the problem. These people need to get money to live and are willing to prostitute themselves for it. As a matter of fact a former NOAA meteorologist who said GW was crap was forced to resign. He had a good record of hurricane prediction but he was a heretic in that he didn't believe in Global Warming which IMO is a religion more than anything. I don't know when the next ICE AGE will happen, I'll be dead by then so I could care less.
Your "question" would be a lie if you had the faintest idea what you were talking about. As it stands, it makes no sense--meteorologists made hundreds of valuable hurricane forecasts last year.
If what you're complaining about is the seasonal forecast of hurricane number (which definitely is not clear from your poorly worded question), then the person you should blame is the meteorologist William Gray, a self-described global warming denier--he is the one that started this whole seasonal forecasting business, and along with him it is his students and colleagues that are responsible for the poor seasonal forecast.
The real point is that you are so poorly informed you don't even know what to complain about. Do us all a favor and either get lost or learn something about the subject before asking stupid and insulting questions.
One of these meteorologist was the climate change deniers' favorite meteorologist of all, Joe Bastardi. He had equally as well predicted an active to hyper-active 2013 Atlantic Basin hurricane season. Even when the first half of the year proved to be unremarkable, Joe still predicted an active second half of the season. Joe uses past climatological weather patterns to make his long term weather predictions. Even though all of the climate conditions had favored an active to hyper-active hurricane season, it was not. Has something changed in the climate that our using past climate conditions to predict a hurricane season will no longer apply or prove to be less useful? Stay tuned, sports fans! The game rules may be changing!
Oh, BTW. How did the EPAC and WPAC seasons look in 2013? Since we are actually talking about global climate change in this section of Yahoo, let us take a look at the globe during the 2013 season. Kano, has the Philippines recovered from Haiyan yet? I feel sorry for the people there. Too much loss of life and loss of property. I have a friend from Australia that is there now to help in the relief efforts. May all dangerous cyclones stay out at sea and only make landfall when all they bring is the needed rains.
The predictions for 2013 were way off the mark with far fewer hurricanes than anyone expected, it was in fact one of the quietest seasons on record, and this give the sceptics something to focus on. Of course, you don’t hear them talking about the year before when there were more hurricanes than anyone predicted. In fact, 2010, 2011 and 2012 are all equally tied as the third most active season on record, another fact conveniently ignored by the sceptics.
Hurricanes are notoriously difficult to predict as they are the consequence of multiple factors coming together at the right place and the right time. Ice-ages are very easy to predict as they follow an established and well defined natural cycle and have done so for millions of years. Anyone claiming there will be an ice-age in 2,000 years, 10,000 years or any time outwith the established cycle is clearly a fool.
I can't predict the flow of traffic tomorrow morning. I can't tell you which car will be in which location at what time. Despite this unpredictability, it'll take me 30 mins +/- 5 mins to get to work. The error in my prediction is due to the traffic lights at one particular junction.
The fact that one aspect of weather is difficult to predict doesn't infer that aspects of climate are equally difficult to predict.
How would you know? It's not like you know anything about hurricanes - or climate - or science.
Do you have any ideas about how to improve seasonal forecasting?
Of course you don't because you're just an idiot who relies on other idiots to do your thinking for you.
We should trust them on local weather because they are right most of the time. Truth is no glacial period will exist again thanks to global warming. Ice ages are over permanently.
As Trevor said, hurricanes are very difficult to predict. But we would need some reason to expect this interglacial to end any faster than the previous interglacials.
Back in the year of Katrina, scientists said this was only the beginning. James Hansen went on record for saying this. They said that Hurricanes were going to strike the US more frequently and with even more ferocity.
Rush Limbaugh, who is not a scientist in any way, and doesn't claim to be, said that, that was bogus. He went out on a limb and said that the US the next year would witness less than three landfall hurricanes. Well guess what? It was over six years before a hurricane struck the US.
I really don't put any stock in any predictions one way or the other. Anything beyond ten years is a pretty safe bet that you won't be caught in your false prediction. Either you will pass away or the memory of the masses will forget.
The amnesiacs can't even remember all of us being scared of an impending Ice Age back in the 70s and call us liars who do remember.
Quote by Noel Brown, UN official: "Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000. Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of "eco-refugees," threatening political chaos."
Never. Never. Never. Trust an agenda driven scientist.
it wouldn't be "natural" if it was easily predictable. ;)
no ice age will occur at least 10,000 years from now?
Where's the link to this info you are spewing??.
