> Why Are Extreme Weather Events Becoming Less Common?

Why Are Extreme Weather Events Becoming Less Common?

Posted at: 2015-03-12 
Nice links, I bookmarked them all for future use. I think your last link does the best job of explaining why warmer weather does not mean there will be more extreme weather. In fact the opposite seem to be true according to empirical data. It seems extreme weather is much more common during periods of colder weather.

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I never really understood the warmers case on this. Greenhouse gasses not only raise the temperature, but they moderate the temperatures. This is why the there is little temperature variation for Venus, but extreme temp variations for Mars. Now, large weather events are caused by differentials in the temps. You have storms when cold fronts meet warm fronts. If you are reducing the variance, then one would expect that the weather events would not be as strong. Now one could make the case theat Venus has very large storm, but then we are also talking about an extremely dense atmosphere. and AGWs affect on the thickness of the atmosphere is minimal at best.

As for if they are becoming less or moer frequent, I doubt either are the case when accounting for multiplicity.

http://www.csccc.info/reports/report_23....

Check out Figure 1. The yearly death rate per million people from extreme weather events has gone down to 3.

Another interesting quote:

"Moreover, if the frequency, intensity and duration of extreme weather events has increased in recent decades– all empirical issues best left to climatologists – there is no signal of that in the data on either mortality rates or (more importantly) mortality, despite an increase in populations at risk."

Growler,

I thought it affected ALL weather??? Guess you get to pick and choose the weather events in a post-hoc manner. Good to see your scientific integrity. BTW, whining about being blocked, looks really silly given that you have blocked numerous people.

Further, you should probably look at the graph you provided, The increase seems to be concurrent with the increased ability to track hurricanes, unless you want to claim that AGW was in full swing during the 50s and 60s. In fact, I would not hesitate to make the proclamation that ALL increases can simply be attributed to increased technology.

Consider. IF you are better able to check internal wind speeds at all time, then you have a higher likelihood of finding a time where the hurricane does hit at a certain category. And they use the highest category the hurricane hits, don't they?

TexasJones,

Too funny. Were too late, the world is ending. LOL. Thanks for the laugh.

Quote by Will Happer, Princeton University physicist, former Director of Energy Research at the Department of Energy: “I had the privilege of being fired by Al Gore, since I refused to go along with his alarmism....I have spent a long research career studying physics that is closely related to the greenhouse effect....Fears about man-made global warming are unwarranted and are not based on good science. The earth's climate is changing now, as it always has. There is no evidence that the changes differ in any qualitative way from those of the past.”

Notice the last sentence by this well known and well informed scientist.

Since Katrina there has been a severe down turn in hurricanes. Even Super Storm Sandy was not a hurricane when it hit landfall. Al Gore blamed Sandy on Global Warming.

You see many of the ones who answer this very question, that what they say is just hype and lacking scientific substance.

"Fear is the most debilitating of all human emotions. A fearful person will do anything, say anything, accept anything, reject anything, if it makes him feel more secure for his own, his family's or his country's security and safety, whether it actually accomplishes it or not...."

"It works like a charm. A fearful people are the easiest to govern. Their freedom and liberty can be taken away, and they can be convinced to believe that it was done for their own good - to give them security. They can be convinced to give up their liberty - voluntarily."

—Gene E. Franchini, retired Chief Justice of the New Mexico Supreme Court

Apply this to TexasHoldEm as an example. "We're all fried!" What a joke! Nothing to scientifically back up his claim, just an idiot posing as one who knows.

Global Warming ended in 2012, confirmed by our Satelite reports 11/28/2012. It will take some time for our planet to return to normal naturally, since Global Warming lasted 37 years. If man made climate change were to occur now, then all life will die permanently. Mike

CO2 is at levels not seen in 650,000 years, and it's going up. We're all fried. But the people who know this, actually are just trying to warn everyone, when the fact is, it's too late. The global warming deniers have "won," which means we're all losers. Way to go Koch Brothers.

You present 4 links the first 2 are about Tornadoes, which are not part of predictions related to climate change, you last link is a denier source of of dubious reliability.

The only one from NOAA that relates is the third link on Hurricane activity and NOAA present that in graphical form here.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/images/atl...

The increase in named storms, yellow and category 3 or great storms, in red is pretty plain to see from 1995 onward.

What model projections are you referring to, as there are none that make projections on Tornado activity. I thought this had been mentioned here before not that long ago.

In fact, it's the opposite. There are more extremes events now. For example, global warming causes more snow storms because it causes extreme precipitation. Also, it's associated with hurricanes and strong storms. You can read all about if on the internet, just google it, it's very interesting.

And Kano: CO2 influences on temperature, which influences on the weather. But, by the way, temperature is NOT the only thing that influences on weather, there are many other things, so if you're an ignorant, because you are, please don't share your ignorance with others.

You do know if it rains, the sun shines, it gets cold, hot, or normal it becomes extremes from one extent to the other? That's weather for ya.

FFS where do you get that argument from ?? I mean they are becoming MORE frequent,you climate deniers are an istupid minority. Good ol USA - 5% of world population, and 25% of CO2 emissions.. GO GO USA.

CO2 cannot change weather, only temperature changes can change weather, and we are not seeing much change

Edit Anya the temperature has not risen for 17yrs so how has it affected weather, and please explain how global warming increases snow.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2014/EF1upcountsthroughApril21.png

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2014/F3_Spans.png

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E23.html

http://www.nipccreport.org/reports/ccr2a/pdf/Chapter-7-Extreme-Weather.pdf

"Contrary to model projections, the research reported here concludes a warmer climate does not

tend to produce a more variable climate. The data suggest a warmer climate may be less variable and

less extreme, if any change occurs at all. The scientific literature does not support projections of

more frequent and intense summer heat waves."

To contradict the mighty all knowing UN is such heresy.