> What about extreme weather in the Philippines?

What about extreme weather in the Philippines?

Posted at: 2015-03-12 
hmm looks like no change

http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/04/30/no-increase-in-extreme-weather-in-the-philippines/



The only answer I see is yours. No one has condemned the source. Unlike questions when realists bring up skepticalscience or GISStemp, when denialists attack the source, because they can't refute the information.

Did you read the report? The report says there HAS been measurable increases in a variety of extreme weather. Why would you link a report and then deny what it says?

"The Philippines, like most parts of the globe, has also exhibited increasing temperatures as shown in Fig.6 below. The graph of observed mean temperature anomalies (or departures from the 1971-2000 normal values) during the period 1951 to 2010 indicate an increase of 0.648 C or an average of 0.0108 C per year-increase."

"During the last 60 years, maximum and minimum temperatures are seen to have increased by 0.36 ?C and 1.0 ?C, respectively."

", there is a very slight increase in the number of tropical cyclones with maximum sustained winds of greater than 150kph and above (typhoon category) being exhibited during El Ni?o event (See Fig.10)."

Analysis of extreme daily maximum and minimum temperatures (hot-days index and cold-nights index, respectively) show there are statistically significant increasing number of hot days but decreasing number of cool nights (as shown in Fig.12 and Fig.13).

"For instance, intensity of extreme daily rainfall is already being experienced in most parts of the country, but not statistically significant (see in Fig.14). Likewise, the frequency has exhibited an increasing trend, also, not statistically significant (as shown in Fig.15)."

You can notice that the report clearly states that some of the trends are seen in the data but cannot are not statistically significant. That means that there is at least a 1% chance that those particular trends are just random. The data is the report is showing that those trends are probably real, somewhere between 50% and 99% likely. Nowhere does the report say there is no increase.

Again, why would you post a study and then say it says something different than ever reader can see that it actually says? Why not actually read the reports you link to?

You must have an extremely short memory, Kano. The Philippines was fairly recently hit by Super Typhoon Haiyan. The strongest tropical cyclone at time of landfall on record. I know that the regions where Haiyan hit are still trying to recover. Super Typhoon Tip (1979) did not hit the Philippines, but it was the largest and most intense tropical cyclone that has been recorded. Hurricane Sandy (2012) was the largest Atlantic Hurricane on record. Hurricane Wilma (2005) was the most intense hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic basin. Hurricane Wilma also underwent the most rapid intensification of any recorded tropical cyclone. It went from a CAT 1 hurricane to a CAT 5 hurricane with 185mph winds in 24 hours time. Hurricanes Katrina and Rita were also powerful Atlantic basin hurricanes in 2005. Rita was the 4th most intense hurricane Atlantic basin hurricane ever recorded and Katrina was the 6th most intense Atlantic basin hurricane ever recorded. Hurricane Ike (2008) was over 600 miles in diameter, at one point in its history.

I live in an area that has been impacted by 5 tropical systems that have had their names retired since 1983.

Hurricane Alicia (1983) - Name retired

Tropical Storm Allison (2001) - Name retired

Hurricane Katrina (2005) - Name retired (just east of my location and with some minor damage in my area)

Hurricane Rita (2005) - Name retired (I lost 1/3 of my roof)

Hurricane Ike (2008) - Name retired

Yes, I know. I am talking about my area and my area is not the world. Just as the Philippines is not the world. Just as the U.S. is not the world.

Shortly after Super Typhoon Haiyan hit the Philippines it was also hit by a severe rain event that caused massive mudslides. You live in the Philippines and you know this. But no worsening of weather events in this small part of the world? The most intense landfalling tropical cyclone ever recorded is not a change for the Philippines? I would hate to see what you would consider a change! Do you need another Haiyan making landfall every other year before you consider that the weather events may be intensifying in the Philippines? As the air temperatures rise so does the atmosphere's potential to hold more water vapor. Water vapor is the engine that drives weather and their potential to become more intense during their lifetime.

Who was it that was making the comment the other day about how quiet this year's tornado season has been in the U.S.? Are they happy now, after the past few days? Do they seek more of this? Not to mention the flooding events that have occurred with this weather system.

Really you seriously want to play to the fiction you actually live in the Philippines when you seemed to not even notice the Hurricane that struck there earlier this year.

And these that have in the last few years all hit the Philippines all Category 3 or greater.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Fen... (2008)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Par... (2009)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Meg... (2010)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Mui... (2011)

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-20745... (2012)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Hai... (2013)

The last 3 all reached category 5, stop pretending you live in the Philippines, it's embarrassing to watch.

Going to your back catalog of many many questions there is this one, also about weather

https://answers.yahoo.com/question/index...

any thoughts on what the outcome of 2013 compared to 2012, do you have the courage to actually answer.

hint

2012 - http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201...

2013 - http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201...

Why can't AGW cultists discredit the information in the websites rather than looking like fools by condemning the source instead?

Seems like the Philippines are experiencing the same extreme weather increases that everywhere else in the planet is having. Which is none

* Climate Realist - Peg deleted the ad hominem answer he posted. That is what my answer referred to.

hmm looks like no change

http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/04/30/no-increase-in-extreme-weather-in-the-philippines/